Macará vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
UCE
2 - 3
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
3 - 0
UCE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
LIG
64%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |