Macará vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
58
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
OCT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAC
23%
29%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 0
CSV
62%
24%
14%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
IMB
2 - 1
AME
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
OCT
4 - 2
IMB
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
IMB
0 - 0
CSV
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
IMB
3 - 3
GUA
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |