Macará vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 0
MAC
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
LDU
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
ESP
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
TEC
3 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ESP
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 3
GUA
39%
27%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
COL
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |