Macará vs Gualaceo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 3
FAM
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
OLM
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TEC
2 - 2
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gualaceo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
OLM
2 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAN
46%
29%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
GUA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
IMB
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |