Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUN
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
MAC
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
EME
2 - 2
DEL
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
EME
1 - 0
ORE
34%
30%
36%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 0
EME
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
BSC
2 - 0
EME
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |