Primera A Finals Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EME
1 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FAM
0 - 3
MAC
13%
25%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
EME
1 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EME
6 - 1
MUS
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EME
2 - 0
LIG
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |