Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IVT
0 - 3
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
LOJ
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 0
CUE
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BSC
4 - 0
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
EME
1 - 2
BSC
47%
27%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
EME
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
EME
3 - 1
LOJ
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 1
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |