Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
EME
5 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 1
EME
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
EME
2 - 0
MAN
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 0
EME
43%
29%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
EME
3 - 2
CUE
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |