Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
IMB
1 - 4
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 1
OLM
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
CUE
0 - 1
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
EME
2 - 1
QUI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DPT
1 - 0
EME
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
EME
2 - 2
IMB
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BSC
0 - 1
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |