Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
DPT
3 - 1
MAC
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 4
DPT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAC
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
EME
1 - 2
DPT
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
1 - 0
EME
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
IMB
2 - 1
EME
37%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
EME
1 - 2
SCI
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
EME
1 - 1
IMB
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |