Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
EME
4 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 3
NAC
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
EME
4 - 2
MAC
59%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
AUC
2 - 0
EME
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
EME
0 - 1
CUE
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
EME
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
EME
4 - 1
QUI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |