Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
EME
0 - 2
MAC
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 1
ESP
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
QUI
0 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 2
CUE
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
EME
0 - 2
MAC
41%
29%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 0
EME
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
EME
0 - 3
OLM
48%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 2
EME
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
ESP
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |