Macará vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
OLM
0 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 1
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 3
CUE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 0
EME
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
BOC
1 - 0
EME
86%
10%
4%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 0
OLM
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
EME
0 - 1
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |