Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
LOJ
0 - 7
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
LOJ
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 1
OLM
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IMB
1 - 2
MAC
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 3
ESP
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 0
QUI
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
MAC
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
QUI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CLA
3 - 0
QUI
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -2 |