Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
2 - 1
DEP
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |