Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 2
BSC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
DPT
2 - 1
MAC
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
MAC
3 - 2
DPT
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 2
DPT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
IMB
0 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 0
OLM
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |