Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LIG
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MAC
2 - 1
CUE
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 1
MAC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
MAC
0 - 2
IMB
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAC
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 0
EME
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 2
NAC
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
LIG
1 - 1
QUI
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 1
CUE
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
OLM
2 - 0
QUI
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |