Macará vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
BSC
1 - 2
MAC
62%
24%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLM
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
EME
6 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 2
MAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 3
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
BSC
2 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
OLM
2 - 2
QUI
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |