Macará vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
MAC
68%
21%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
QUI
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
BSC
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
CUE
3 - 0
DEP
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 2
UCE
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |