Macará vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 1
LOJ
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAC
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 1
EME
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEP
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
UCE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |