Macará vs Deportivo Quevedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAC
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
LDU
72%
17%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
VAL
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
UCE
2 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Quevedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAC
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 0
DEP
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
DEP
5 - 0
UTC
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
DPT
5 - 0
DEP
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
DEP
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |