Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TEC
1 - 0
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CLA
2 - 2
MAC
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
COL
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
IMB
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 1
CLA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
IMB
3 - 1
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
OLM
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |