Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IMB
3 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 1
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
LDU
0 - 2
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
MAN
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
TEC
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 3
OLM
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
FAM
3 - 0
ESP
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
DPT
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
ESP
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEL
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |