Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 2
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
IMB
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 0
MAC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
DPT
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 2
BSC
29%
29%
41%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 3
LDU
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 0
ESP
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 1
ESP
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 3
TEC
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
RIV
3 - 2
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |