Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 1
MAC
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
IMB
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DPT
1 - 0
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 3
LDU
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DPT
2 - 0
ESP
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
ESP
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
TEC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
TEC
4 - 0
ESP
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |