Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIG
32%
27%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
EME
1 - 0
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
LDU
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
38%
29%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 2
EME
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 2
EME
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LDU
2 - 1
ESP
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
LDU
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |