Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
UCE
1 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
LIG
2 - 2
MAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUE
40%
28%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MAC
3 - 1
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 1
LIG
38%
26%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
UCE
0 - 1
ESP
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
CUE
1 - 1
ESP
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 2
TEC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 0
DPT
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |