Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
EME
6 - 0
MAC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 2
AUC
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIG
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 0
OLM
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 2
ESP
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 3
BSC
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
BSC
1 - 0
ESP
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |