Macará vs Espoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 2
MAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 5
OLM
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
BSC
3 - 1
MAC
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
ESP
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
3 - 1
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIG
2 - 1
ESP
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 3
OLM
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |