Macará vs Delfín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
25.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
GUA
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
IMB
3 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
2 - 0
OLM
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
OLM
0 - 1
DEL
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
53%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 1
DEL
48%
29%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 0
DPT
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |