Macará vs Vinotinto Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
MAC
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 2
LIG
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
MAN
2 - 2
CUN
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 3
IVT
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
NAC
2 - 1
CUN
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |