Macará vs Cumbayá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UCE
2 - 2
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
EME
4 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 0
TEC
32%
31%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MUS
4 - 2
CFC
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
ORE
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
IVT
23%
24%
52%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |