Macará vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 3
MAC
22%
27%
51%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
INJ
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
IMB
1 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 3
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 0
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
CSV
3 - 0
AME
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 1
CSV
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
CSV
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 1
CHA
27%
29%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
CUN
0 - 0
CSV
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |