Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 4
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
EME
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
CUN
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
MAC
43%
27%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 2
MAN
44%
28%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 3
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
DEL
1 - 1
IVT
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |