Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
BSC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
CUE
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 0
LIG
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
IVT
1 - 1
ATM
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 1
IVT
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
CUE
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |