Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 4
LIG
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CUE
2 - 1
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 0
IVT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 0
IVT
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
4 - 0
ORE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 2
IVT
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
IVT
3 - 0
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |