Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 0
MAC
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
TAC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BSC
0 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
IVT
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BAN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 1
IVT
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
IVT
2 - 0
UCE
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 0
IVT
39%
26%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
IVT
4 - 1
RIV
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |