Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
DEL
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
EME
2 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
CUE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CLA
0 - 2
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UCE
1 - 3
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 1
DEL
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
IVT
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
IVT
1 - 1
EME
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |