Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
MAC
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 4
EME
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
UCE
1 - 1
MAC
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 2
UCE
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CUE
1 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
LIG
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
BSC
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |