Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MAC
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
BSC
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DEP
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 1
MAC
67%
20%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 5
CUE
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
UCE
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CUE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 2
LIG
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
IVT
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 1
EME
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |