Macará vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
UCE
2 - 3
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 2
CUE
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 1
UCE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CUE
3 - 0
IVT
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LIG
3 - 0
IVT
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |