Macará vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 3
MAC
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
UCE
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
TEC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
24%
29%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ROC
2 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
AUD
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UCE
2 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TEC
2 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |