Macará vs Chacaritas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
4º
1º
43
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 1
MAC
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
INJ
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chacaritas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
IMB
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
CSV
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |