Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
AUC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
EME
0 - 0
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CUN
1 - 2
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 0
ORE
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
TEC
0 - 1
BSC
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 1
TEC
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 0
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
TEC
2 - 2
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AUC
4 - 1
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |