Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
GUA
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
LDU
0 - 0
MAC
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 0
LDU
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
TEC
0 - 0
OLM
54%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
TEC
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 1
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
IMB
0 - 1
TEC
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
TEC
2 - 2
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |