Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
OLM
3 - 3
MAC
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
DPT
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
FAM
1 - 0
MAC
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 4
FAM
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
DPT
1 - 4
MAC
29%
29%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TEC
1 - 1
ESP
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
TEC
26%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
TEC
1 - 0
IMB
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
IMB
1 - 0
TEC
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
TEC
2 - 0
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |