Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
RIV
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
MAC
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 0
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 0
UTC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
IMB
2 - 2
TEC
40%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
TEC
0 - 2
AUC
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MUN
0 - 4
TEC
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TEC
2 - 2
MUN
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 1
TEC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |