Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
IVT
1 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
EME
3 - 2
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EME
2 - 1
TEC
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 1
LIG
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 0
TEC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OLM
0 - 3
TEC
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEC
1 - 1
BSC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |