Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LDU
1 - 1
MAC
24%
29%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BSC
53%
26%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CUE
0 - 2
MAC
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TEC
2 - 0
GRE
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
0 - 1
TEC
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
TEC
1 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UTC
1 - 4
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 0
TEC
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |