Macará vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LIG
1 - 1
MAC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 0
CUE
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
LIG
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TEC
3 - 3
OLM
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
OLM
0 - 0
TEC
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 2
TEC
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 2
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |